{"id":1554,"date":"2022-12-06T23:59:08","date_gmt":"2022-12-06T23:59:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/?p=1554"},"modified":"2023-08-04T07:34:29","modified_gmt":"2023-08-04T07:34:29","slug":"how-does-inflation-impact-the-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/how-does-inflation-impact-the-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"<strong>How does inflation impact the stock market?<\/strong>"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"341\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-57-1024x341.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1555\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-57-1024x341.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-57-300x100.png 300w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-57-768x256.png 768w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-57-696x232.png 696w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-57-1068x356.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-57.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What is inflation?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Inflation refers to the increase in prices of goods and services within an economy.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most common way this is measured and reported on is through the consumer price index or CPI. The CPI measures the increase or decrease in prices of a variety of consumer goods and services. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those goods and services include everything from food, clothing, housing, fuel, transportation, medical services, and other living expenses people incur as part of their day to day lives. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What causes inflation<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>There are 3 key causes of inflation that you should be familiar with. These include: demand-pull inflation, cost-push inflation, and inflation expectations.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Demand pull inflation<\/strong> is when the demand for goods and services exceeds their total supply causing prices to increase. Economists refer to this as \u2018too many dollars chasing too few goods\u2019.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Cost-push inflation<\/strong> is when the supply of goods and services within an economy declines, while demand for those goods and services remains the same, causing prices to increase.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflation expectations<\/strong> can also cause prices to increase over time. This is because consumers and companies base current financial decisions on what they <em>expect<\/em> the world to look like in the future.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, if a company like Apple expects the price of the components used to make an iPhone will increase in the future, management might preemptively raise the price of its iPhone to offset those \u2018expected\u2019 cost increases.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>How inflation impacts the stock market<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The way all of this impacts the stock market and the share prices of individual companies primarily comes down to how central banks respond to inflation, namely by raising interest rates.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The role of central banks<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>When inflation is high &#8211; or above where central banks want it to be &#8211; you will likely see central banks raise interest rates.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By increasing interest rates, central banks are betting that consumers and businesses will borrow less (take out less debt) and decrease spending. Put another way, the expectation is that by increasing interest rates, demand will fall.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Stocks vs bonds<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>With higher interest rates, stocks become less attractive to investors. This not only might see capital flow away from stocks (people selling their stocks), but it will likely see less capital flow into stocks (people buying stocks). These factors can put downward pressure on share prices.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The key reason that stocks become less attractive to investors when interest rates are higher is because government bonds, become more attractive, because they pay or yield investors more while being &#8216;less risky&#8217;, in a high interest rates environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at the other side of this equation, while stocks may be down right now, it\u2019s worth remembering that out of downturns stocks tend to rise. In fact, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/how-do-recessions-impact-the-stock-market\/\">according to research<\/a>, two years after a recession stocks on average rise 20%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The impact of debt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In real terms, higher interest rates also means companies face higher debt costs, which can lower company earnings. Again, lower earnings or the expectation of lower earnings might make stocks less attractive to investors, leading people to sell stocks or not buy stocks.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While companies with strong balance sheets like Apple might be relatively unaffected by higher debt costs, companies with poor earnings or relatively high debt levels are likely to be more adversely affected by higher debt costs.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>How inflation has impacted Australians&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Syfe\u2019s 2022 investor pulse &#8211; which surveyed over 1,000 Australians &#8211; shows that Australian investors have reacted with mixed emotions to rising inflation.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s how investors responded to the question: \u2018Given that inflation and interest rates have started to rise from earlier this year [2022], I have or intend to.\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh5.googleusercontent.com\/5XhD-kGfScUX9yFA_RowQlYk-rM7O2fcq19S0rS9fnggwwgdUqRHBUEd9-iWkDvm6VoD45u4Nrmd-vBY0QGTT4Yd5x0_4Ugb9dmkCshJR0rslsicV-u7aCJW5U0CAEr7Y7ROmcNQoFPweWsFhaFe0iVc_h9P0FpzpH9YIhaRttmL-F8t_t7QihFIpSSRgA\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\">Source: Syfe<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s how investors responded to the question: \u2018Given that inflation and interest rates have started to rise from earlier this year, how do you feel about your main investment goal?\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/F-08ocJL2fHXTaXJC3Fhpk19RKAUQD5jE35EcsY_jy6wQ05ptYp19JRsrBeObDgPJsS7gtn4bv0qFY0fI2YwNPYd-O5BR9jkFx84bt4xhbw0TAcXGVT4GVvF8PN2kq36RuL3M7_RpEiPYWF_xDVp6TOY_UlTY-RbGnym4uMWUNBZ3tOqOqNZV2w7mwR5Lg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\">Source: Syfe<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>How to invest with Syfe&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Whether you\u2019re just getting started investing or just want to take things to the next level, with Syfe you can invest in over 10,000+ US stocks &amp; ETFs, all from the palm of your hand. <a href=\"https:\/\/syfe.onelink.me\/diya\/ve94yipp\">Click here to download the Syfe app now.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-uagb-image uagb-block-758ad744 wp-block-uagb-image--layout-default wp-block-uagb-image--effect-static wp-block-uagb-image--align-none\"><figure class=\"wp-block-uagb-image__figure\"><img decoding=\"async\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/SYFE50_landscape-1024x536.png \" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 480px) 150px\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/SYFE50_landscape-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"uag-image-2681\" width=\"1024\" height=\"536\" title=\"\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:100px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><sub>This article\/webinar is brought to you by Syfe Australia Pty Ltd., CAR number 1295306 of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL 337927). Disclaimer: Investing involves risk including the risk of losing your invested amount. We do not provide personalised advice or recommendations.&nbsp; Any information we provide is general advice and current at the time&nbsp; written. Please speak to your Financial or Tax adviser for personal advice. Any reference to an investment\u2019s past or potential performance is not an indication of any specific outcome or profit.&nbsp;<\/sub><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is inflation? Inflation refers to the increase in prices of goods and services within an economy.&nbsp; The most common way this is measured and reported on is through the consumer price index or CPI. The CPI measures the increase or decrease in prices of a variety of consumer goods and services. &nbsp; Those goods [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":1556,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[217],"tags":[184,185,31,186,167,48,188],"class_list":{"0":"post-1554","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-most_popular","8":"tag-inflation","9":"tag-interest-rates","10":"tag-investing","11":"tag-macroeconomics","12":"tag-stocks","13":"tag-syfe","14":"tag-trading"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How does inflation impact the stock market? 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is inflation? Inflation refers to the increase in prices of goods and services within an economy.&nbsp; The most common way this is measured and reported on is through the consumer price index or CPI. The CPI measures the increase or decrease in prices of a variety of consumer goods and services. &nbsp; Those goods&hellip;","category":"Most Popular","authorName":"Syfe","thumbnail":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-58-150x150.png","featuredImage":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/Untitled-design-58.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1554","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1554"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1554\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2824,"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1554\/revisions\/2824"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1556"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1554"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1554"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/au\/learn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1554"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}