{"id":5617,"date":"2025-01-24T16:20:22","date_gmt":"2025-01-24T08:20:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/?p=5617"},"modified":"2025-01-24T17:22:16","modified_gmt":"2025-01-24T09:22:16","slug":"syfe-2025%e5%b9%b4%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e5%b1%95%e6%9c%9b%ef%bc%9a%e5%9c%a8%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%ad%b82-0%e5%92%8c%e5%89%b5%e6%96%b0%e6%b5%aa%e6%bd%ae%e4%b8%ad%e8%93%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/zh-hant\/syfe-2025%e5%b9%b4%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e5%b1%95%e6%9c%9b%ef%bc%9a%e5%9c%a8%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%ad%b82-0%e5%92%8c%e5%89%b5%e6%96%b0%e6%b5%aa%e6%bd%ae%e4%b8%ad%e8%93%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"Syfe 2025\u5e74\u5e02\u5834\u5c55\u671b\uff1a\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b782.0\u548c\u5275\u65b0\u6d6a\u6f6e\u4e2d\u84ec\u52c3\u767c\u5c55"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" 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class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u806f\u5132\u5c40\u884c\u52d5 \u2013 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size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"562\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20-1024x562.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5587\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20-1024x562.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20-768x421.png 768w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20-1536x843.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20-696x382.png 696w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20-1068x586.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20-765x420.png 765w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-20.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" 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class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"557\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21-1024x557.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5589\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21-1024x557.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21-768x418.png 768w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21-1536x835.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21-696x378.png 696w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21-1068x580.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21-772x420.png 772w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-21.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u5f71\u97ff\uff1a<\/strong>\u9810\u8a08\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u57282025\u5e74\u5c07\u5927\u529b\u4f9d\u8cf4\u8ca1\u653f\u548c\u8ca8\u5e63\u63aa\u65bd\u4f86\u7a69\u5b9a\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6311\u6230\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u4f46\u4e2d\u570b\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u7acb\u5834\u548c\u63a1\u53d6\u679c\u65b7\u884c\u52d5\u7684\u6e96\u5099\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u7de9\u89e3\u9006\u98a8\u4e26\u70ba\u7a69\u5b9a\u5960\u5b9a\u57fa\u790e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u767c\u5c55 \u2013 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class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"573\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22-1024x573.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5591\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22-1024x573.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22-1536x860.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22-696x390.png 696w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22-1068x598.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22-750x420.png 750w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-22.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u5f71\u97ff\uff1a<\/strong>\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7e7c\u7e8c\u978f\u56fa\u5176\u4f5c\u70ba\u8b8a\u9769\u6027\u5927\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u9060\u4e0d\u6b62\u662f\u77ed\u66ab\u7684\u7092\u4f5c\u3002\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u3001\u63a1\u7528\u548c\u5275\u65b0\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u548c\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u7b49\u6f5b\u5728\u9006\u98a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u63d0\u4f9b\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u652f\u6301\u3002\u9019\u8aaa\u660e\u4e86\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u61c9\u8a72\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u8d77\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u6295\u8cc7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2025\u5e74\u4e3b\u8981\u98a8\u96aa<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u6295\u8cc7\u74b0\u5883\u4e2d\u822a\u884c\u9700\u8981\u654f\u92b3\u610f\u8b58\u6f5b\u5728\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u6211\u5011\u5728\u9081\u54112025\u5e74\u6642\u5bc6\u5207\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u4e09\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1.\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5347\u7d1a\u70ba\u91d1\u878d\u6230<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><strong>\u4f4e\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u9ad8\u5f71\u97ff<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u95dc\u9375\u89f8\u767c\u56e0\u7d20\uff1a\u65b0\u95dc\u7a05\u3001\u8cc7\u672c\u6d41\u52d5\u9650\u5236\u6216\u6280\u8853\u8cbf\u6613\u7981\u4ee4<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u4e2d\u96d9\u908a\u95dc\u4fc2\u4ecd\u7136\u52d5\u76ea\u4e0d\u7a69\uff0c\u5169\u570b\u5728\u8cbf\u6613\u3001\u6280\u8853\u3001\u53f0\u7063\u548c\u8a31\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u554f\u984c\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u6b67\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u5287\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5a01\u8105\u8981\u5be6\u65bd\u5168\u9762\u95dc\u7a05\u5c0e\u81f4\u95dc\u4fc2\u6301\u7e8c\u60e1\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u96d6\u7136\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5df2\u9810\u671f\u5169\u570b\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u4f46\u5f9e\u8cbf\u6613\u6230\u5347\u7d1a\u70ba\u8ca8\u5e63\u6216\u91d1\u878d\u6230\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6f5b\u5728\u7684\u8b8a\u6578\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1\u53ef\u80fd\u6d89\u53ca\u5c07\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7d71\u6b66\u5668\u5316\uff0c\u5e36\u4f86\u56b4\u91cd\u5f71\u97ff\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"572\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23-1024x572.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5593\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23-1536x858.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23-696x389.png 696w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23-1068x597.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23-752x420.png 752w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-23.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" 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class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"545\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24-1024x545.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5595\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24-1024x545.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24-300x160.png 300w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24-768x408.png 768w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24-1536x817.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24-696x370.png 696w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24-1068x568.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24-790x420.png 790w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/hk\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/unnamed-24.png 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3.\u7f8e\u80a1\u4f30\u503c\u9ad8\u4f01\u548c\u96c6\u4e2d\u5ea6<\/strong><strong><br><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u9ad8\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u4f4e\u5f71\u97ff<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u95dc\u9375\u89f8\u767c\u56e0\u7d20\uff1a\u79d1\u6280\u5de8\u982d\u76c8\u5229\u4f4e\u65bc\u9810\u671f\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6295\u8cc7\u653e\u7de9\u7684\u8b49\u64da<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ee5\u8a31\u591a\u6a19\u6e96\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u76f8\u5c0d\u6602\u8cb4\u3002\u8209\u4f8b\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e 500 \u6307\u6578\u7684 Shiller CAPE \u6bd4\u7387\uff0c\u4e5f\u7a31\u70ba\u9031\u671f\u6027\u8abf\u6574\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\uff0c\u5176\u8a08\u7b97\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\u5c07\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e 500 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