{"id":8231,"date":"2022-09-23T17:51:38","date_gmt":"2022-09-23T09:51:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/?p=8231"},"modified":"2024-04-02T13:42:56","modified_gmt":"2024-04-02T05:42:56","slug":"6-things-a-singapore-investor-should-know-about-the-fed-rate-hikes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/6-things-a-singapore-investor-should-know-about-the-fed-rate-hikes\/","title":{"rendered":"6 Things A Singapore Investor Should Know About The Fed Rate Hikes\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" data-attachment-id=\"8233\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/6-things-a-singapore-investor-should-know-about-the-fed-rate-hikes\/copy-of-stock-photos-40\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40.png\" data-orig-size=\"1200,800\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Copy of Stock photos (40)\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-300x200.png\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-1024x683.png\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-1024x683.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8233\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-696x464.png 696w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-1068x712.png 1068w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40-630x420.png 630w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Copy-of-Stock-photos-40.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>By now, you should have seen the headlines. The Federal Reserve has raised US interest rates by another 0.75% and vowed to keep hiking rates for longer.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Need a quick lowdown on what\u2019s happening? We\u2019ve got you covered.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"#hike\">The September rate hike<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#rise\">Will interest rates continue to rise?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#dot\">The Fed dot plot, explained<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#recession\">Is a recession coming?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#fall\">Why did the stock market fall?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#SG\">How will Singaporeans be affected by the rate hikes?<\/a><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"hike\"><strong>1. Another jumbo rate hike<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised benchmark interest rates (also known as the federal funds rate) by another 0.75%, its third straight rate hike of this magnitude.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The move is intended to combat inflation, which is now at a 40-year high in the US and running at more than three times the Fed\u2019s 2% inflation target.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed\u2019s benchmark interest rate &#8211; which is what banks charge each other for overnight loans &#8211; is now at a range of 3% to 3.25%, the highest level since the 2008 global financial crisis.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For a sense of how quickly the rate has climbed this year, the federal funds rate was set at near-zero as recently as March 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"rise\"><strong>2. Will the Fed raise interest rates further? By how much?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed projections indicate that officials expect to raise rates by at least 1.25% during the remaining two policy meetings of 2022. This suggests that another 0.75% rate hike could be possible at the November FOMC meeting, followed by a 0.50% hike at the December meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the Fed\u2019s dot plot, the central bank is likely to keep raising interest rates well into 2023, and rate cuts are not foreseen until 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe FOMC is strongly resolved to bring inflation down to 2%, and we will keep at it until the job is done,\u201d Fed Chair Jerome Powell declared during his press conference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"dot\"><strong>3. Wait\u2026 What is the Fed dot plot?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The dot plot shows the Fed\u2019s outlook for the path of interest rates going forward. Each \u201cdot\u201d represents where each Fed official thinks the rate should be.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/PzlBoFI6Oxt7mDM_75ozpGjJ4HF1d3vv3LGeUWKuLxPPMYSIpgs0JV83bnsQJrzYOQoF4dQ_MfhEf4uIN9Rb2yMIDuEgk95QFZHgVti3dTmbIXIfYqWDo3GmgtTMGD_Z9tAAAMFZX0NQvevs2bmUaOelYiWpHqqRbO7TgmonCIZ_WxHhutKgvKy9CA.png\" alt=\"Fed dot plot September 2022\"\/><figcaption>Image credit: Federal Reserve<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s how to read the dot plot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The median forecasts show that Fed officials expect interest rates to hit 4.25% to 4.5% by the end of 2022<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>By the end of 2023, rates are expected to climb to 4.50% to 4.75%. (This is a jump from the June dot plot which projected rates to rise to 3.8% by end 2023)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>For 2024, projections are more dispersed. Fed officials predict rates to be somewhere between 2.75% to 4.75%<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>In the longer run beyond 2025, most officials expect interest rates to settle at 2.5%<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In essence, the Fed is saying that interest rates are going to stay elevated for longer &#8211; at least until 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"recession\"><strong>4. Will there be a recession?&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The aggressive rate hikes could increase the odds of a recession happening, but it seems that is a price the Fed is willing to pay to crush inflation.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe have got to get inflation behind us. I wish there were a painless way to do that. There isn\u2019t,\u201d Powell said in his press conference.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed\u2019s higher unemployment forecasts is yet another indication of their resolve. The new projections show unemployment rates rising to 4.4% by the end of 2023, up from 3.9% predicted in the June forecast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At present, US unemployment sits around 3.6%. A jump to 4.4% would meet the \u201cSahm Rule\u201d for identifying the start of a recession, according to Bloomberg economists. Plus, it could mean job losses of more than 1 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/a59-ObI0lRGv96bsc1Cl9lWmjS7k_kCsy_8_XDIRgdlEpAPgHXdV6KH03RLvlrghUNsvyCVArfvynsaMRFcrvsb8hjxVej_ovoV6OpfCnfTlT1qMlmV1uhU_LFux9FzS6yaZkgYHRZzdQ66F-hgLNiqr6l1f6bnqxR9SDBkXleFJHk01DRHPSVtwng.png\" alt=\"Recession fears\" width=\"807\" height=\"450\"\/><figcaption>Image credit: Bloomberg<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Although that\u2019s a tough pill to swallow, taming inflation ultimately means the economy has to slow.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To do that, the Fed needs to push interest rates higher. The idea is that as consumers and businesses spend less given higher borrowing costs, demand begins to wane, the economy cools, hiring and wage growth slows, and price increases moderate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"fall\"><strong>5. Why did the stock market drop after the Fed\u2019s rate hike?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>On Thursday (22 September), the major US indices slid for the third consecutive day amid mounting fears of a recession. Growth and tech stocks took a hit, but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/recession-proof-your-portfolio\/\">defensive stocks outperformed <\/a>with drugmakers and consumer staples in the green on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Generally speaking, growth and tech companies (especially those that are not profitable yet) are particularly vulnerable to high interest rates. That\u2019s because they are valued on their future earnings estimates, but the present value of those future earnings are worth less when interest rates rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"SG\"><strong>6. How will Singaporeans be affected by rising interest rates?&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Interest rates in Singapore closely track interest rates in the US. Higher interest rates mean that Singaporeans could find their car loans and home mortgages becoming more expensive.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But higher interest rates also mean that your cash savings can work harder for you. Cash management accounts like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/comparing-cash-against-other-cash-management-solutions\/\">Syfe Cash+ have already started raising their projected returns<\/a>, and will continue adjusting them higher as interest rates climb.&nbsp;In fact, Syfe Cash+ has again raised its projected yield to <strong>2.4% <\/strong>p.a. from 1.9% p.a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" data-attachment-id=\"9051\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/deep-dive-into-syfe-cash\/copy-of-new-cash-1080x1080-2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"1080,1080\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080&#215;1080-2\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-300x300.jpg\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-1024x1024.jpg\" src=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-1024x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9051\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-1024x1024.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-768x768.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-696x696.jpg 696w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-1068x1068.jpg 1068w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2-420x420.jpg 420w, https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/Copy-of-NEW-Cash-1080x1080-2.jpg 1080w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Although fixed deposit rates have also risen in recent weeks, you\u2019ll be locked in at that rate for the duration of the product. This <a href=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/are-fixed-deposits-the-best-choice-for-you\/\">rigid lock-up may not be ideal<\/a> as interest rates continue to rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Read next: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.syfe.com\/magazine\/recession-proof-your-portfolio\/\">Worried about a downturn next year? Here\u2019s how to recession-proof your portfolio<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How will Singaporeans be affected by rising interest rates?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":8234,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,287],"tags":[33],"class_list":{"0":"post-8231","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-grow-wealth","8":"category-investing-basics","9":"tag-popular"},"acf":{"readingTime":"3m","authorName":"Eliezer Toh","authorThumbnail":false,"BLUE_TIER":"0","BLACK_TIER":"0","GOLD_TIER":"0","PRIVATE_WEALTH_TIER":"0","PRE_AML":"0","POST_AML":"0","NO_GLOBAL_PORTFOLIO":"0","NO_REITS_PORTFOLIO":"0","NO_EQUITY_PORTFOLIO":"0","NO_CASH_PORTFOLIO":"0","HAS_ADVISOR":"0","INVESTMENT_PORTFOLIO_AUM":"0","AFTER_AML_DATE":"","AFTER_ACCOUNT_CREATED_DATE":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>6 Things A Singapore Investor Should Know About The Fed Rate Hikes\u00a0 | Syfe<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Federal Reserve has raised US interest rates by another 0.75% and vowed to keep hiking rates for longer.\u00a0Is that good news for savers?\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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